A new CNN/ORC Poll released Tuesday indicates that nearly three quarters of self-identified Republicans think Mitt Romney is “Almost Certain” or “Very Likely” to become the party’s nominee for President. Overall support for Romney among Republicans has increased from 34 percent in February to 36 percent in March. Favorability has decreased over the same period of time for Rick Santorum, from 34 percent to 26 percent. Ron Paul and Newt Gingrich continue to trail in polling numbers, and are currently garnering 17 percent and 15 percent of support, respectively.
CNN Polling Methodology
The poll was conducted from March 24 to March 25 via live telephone interviews. The sample consisted of 1014 respondents, 925 of whom were registered voters. This sample was further broken down to direct questions regarding Republican candidates to 436 self-identified registered Republicans. Respondents were contacted via landline and cell phone, with a split of 761 and 253, respectively. The margin of error is +/-3 points.
Romney Enthusiasm Still Lacking Compared to Obama
Despite more Republicans beginning to support, or at least accept, Romney as the inevitable nominee, confidence may still be unsteady. The CNN poll revealed that only 69 percent of Republican respondents believe Romney can beat Obama in 2012. More bad news for Romney comes from a recent Washington Post/ABC poll indicating only 34 percent of Americans hold favorable opinions of Romney, while 53 percent responded favorably to Obama. The President also leads Romney in the key swing states of Ohio Pennsylvania and Florida, according to Qunnipiac polling.
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